Our "Tesla to Mogul" program is our case study that will last until the end of 2025.
1) OBJECTIVE, PURPOSE, RESEARCH QUESTIONS
OBJECTIVE: Use every Mogul30 (Trading Portfolio) profits to buy as much $TSLA stock as possible by New Years Day 2026. Little over $25k of capital and our Mogul30 stock market strategy is being used to generate profits to put into our Tesla to Mogul Program.
PURPOSE:
1) We have a price target of $TSLA at $600 by the end of the year and buying below that presents opportunity.
2) We believe that 2025 will be the last year to buy $TSLA below the price of $500.
RESEARCH QUESTIONS:
1) Will Tesla reach our price target of $700 by the end of the year?
2) Can we reach 100+ shares acquired?
3) Based on our BULLISH outlook on $TSLA, was focusing solely on buying Tesla in the year 2025 a good decision?
4) What factors determined the price of $TSLA by year end and how does it compare to our bullish outlook on what it was at the beginning of the year.
5) Will Trump Tariffs, Inflation, and Interest Rates hurt Tesla in 2025?
6) Will the Model Y continue to be the Most Popular Car in the World after its new design?
7) Will Tesla ramp out RoboTaxi and autonomous in June?
8) Can Tesla make 10,000 Tesla Optimus Robots this year?
2) METHODOLOGY
January and March: (PRICE: January 1st, $390 - March31st, TBD)
2/17/25 - Tesla Stock was trading on the Tesla story and the recent Trump Administration win. Elon is now in the White House and has been seen in the oval office taking interviews from the press. His new venture with D.O.G.E (Department of Government Efficiency) is questioning investors.
Fear, Uncertaintly, and Dought has hit the stock since January 1st as we write this (February 18th). Right now, we see the stock down 9% YTD. Main concerns are, is Elon Musk getting distracted with Politics? Q1 Earnings presented bad sales numbers as they have declined in Europe and fears of competitor growth. We also have the federal reserve coming out in January meeting and decided to hold on cutting rates for the first time in the last 3 meetings which hurts demand. We also have tarriff scares with the Trump Administration.
On the bright side, The Model Y is getting a make over and people are not buying Model Y's until the new one comes out in March. Model Y has been the most popular car in the world and when your whole customer base is waiting for your new product to come out instead, sales will suffer a bit.
It has been reported that major institutions have been loading up on buying $TSLA. Some names that come to mind are Ray Dalio and Brigewater Associates, Charles Schwab, Goldman Sachs, Blackrock, and Vanguard.
2/18/25 - There are rumors that the Model Q, a cost effective option is in the works. China sales have been up and Tesla hiring now in India after Elon meeting with Prime Minister Modi.
3/03/25 - We are seeing a lot of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) in the market this past week. We are in amidst the Trump Tariffs really take effect here soon and it is affecting Tesla and the rest of the stock market. Just today we have seen President Trump announce the U.S. will set the 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, our top trading partners. We will also slap an additional 10% tariff on China, bringing it to 20% from the existing 10% we slapped previously.
Some good news we are seeing is Tesla FSD being released in China with a lot of videos of FSD doing well in the country. We also have seen the new Model Y Juniper being released in China and seeing happy customers.
We also have Morgan Stanley coming out and announcing that $TSLA stock is a hot buy:
"Morgan Stanley’s latest stance on Tesla stock, as of March 3, 2025, is a reaffirmed "Overweight" rating with a price target of $430 per share. This comes from analyst Adam Jonas, who also reinstated Tesla as the "Top Pick" in the U.S. auto sector. The call was made amid a rough patch for Tesla—its stock’s down nearly 30% year-to-date, closing at $383 on March 3 after a 5% drop tied to broader market tariff fears. Jonas sees this dip as a buying opportunity, arguing Tesla’s not just a carmaker anymore but a tech player leaning hard into AI and robotics."
"He points to Tesla’s Cybercab and Optimus projects as long-term value drivers, expanding its total addressable market beyond EVs into what he calls “embodied AI.” The $430 target implies a 46-50% upside from recent levels, with a bull case stretching to $800 if autonomy and robotics hit big. This aligns with our earlier chat—Cybercab’s robotaxi potential and Optimus’s humanoid ambitions could juice Tesla’s growth, but they’re still years from scaling. Jonas acknowledges short-term EV market headwinds, like tariff costs from Canada, Mexico, and China, yet bets on Tesla’s tech pivot offsetting that."
We also saw Elon Musk responding to a post on X saying with strong execution he can see Tesla reach a 1,000% return from the current stock price.
3) DATA COLLECTION
2/04/25 - Tesla to Mogul Program has begun. Since July 2024, we have been saving every profit in a separate account called the Mogul Pot. Mogul Pot was created for the sole purpose for long term investments and case studies here for Mogul Fellows VIP and to build the brand long term wealth. Since the inception of the Mogul Pot in July 2024, we have seen the Mogul30 fund the Mogul Pot with $3,252.17 in profits. Quite low profit for our liking to be honest but we werent trimming much until the last few months into the New Year. With the first purchase of Tesla to Mogul, we bought 8 shares of $TSLA at the price of $389.32, spending a capital of $3,114.56 leaving $137.61 in cash reserves.
2/13/25 - With the existing capital and a new trim we made from the Mogul30 of $300.79 we had some capital to spend. 2 different buys. 1 whole share buy at the price of $351.47 and a fractional buy of $116.86. This now gives us 9.33 shares.
2/14/25 - We trimmed $531.34 from the Mogul30 and now have more capital to spend. 1 share buy at $354.12 and a fractional buy of $177.21. This puts the position now at $10.83 shares. 1/10th of the way to our goal.
2/19/25 - We trimmed $170.86 from the Mogul30 and we had an interest payment that paid us a $6.88 with the cash we had in the Mogul Pot this last month before we bought $TSLA. We combined those together and put it in $TSLA. Now over 11 shares.
2/20/25 - Capital of $116.55 was added to the Mogul Pot from Mogul30 trims. We used it to continue the Tesla to Mogul program and threw in the $116.55 in $TSLA at the price of $353.71. This now puts our Mogul Pot Account Value which is all Tesla at a $4,120.06 and our Tesla position sits at $11.6524 shares.
2/21/25 - $75.39 was added to the Mogul Pot from Mogul30 trims and sells. We deployed it into $TSLA at the price of $337.68. This now puts our Tesla to Mogul position at 11.87 shares, market value of $4,009.10 and an average price of $377.58.
2/26/25 - We bought in $TSLA while its in severe oversold levels. We added the $138.16 made from trims add to our $TSLA position at the price of $292.21. This now puts our "Tesla to Mogul" position at 12.34 shares. We are down significantly on our position due to more short term bad news on Tesla, but this gives us an opportunity to keep adding into Tesla at a discount.
2/28/25 - We bought $129.22 worth of $TSLA at the price of $292.21. This brings the position to 12.79 shares. Market Value of $3,705.78 with the position down for now. This is a perfect opportunity for us to add $TSLA at better deals and will continue to unload at these prices. Our Average price is $371.37.
4) ANALYZE THE DATA & CONCLUSION
Coming Soon
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